In the past month, Trump has mostly been in the low to mid-50s. What we know so far is that in the two gubernatorial races coming up next month it is clear that its the pandemic stupid. In New Jersey, the incumbent governor, Phil Murphy, is running for re-election. The real-world results have been horrific. Table #1: 10 states where governors have suffered the largest losses in approval ratings during the pandemic.[1]. Press question mark to learn the rest of the keyboard shortcuts. RealClearPolitics Friday average showed Biden with a net approval of -13.5 percent. Independents disapproval rose from 38 percent to 51 percent. BREAKING: Florida Republican Governor Ron DeSantis re-election chances are put in major jeopardy as a new poll of Florida voters shows that hes losing to Democrat Charlie Crist, who is at 48% of the vote compared to DeSantis 47%. As President Trump dithered his way through the first months of the pandemic, it became clear that when it came to peoples daily lives, governors would be the ones with the power. It isFlorida Gov. Most young women are not. By the end of August, 14 percent disapproveda 5 percent increase. The poll results were initially mentioned in an NBC News report. A number of left-leaning Twitter accounts have claimed that Crist has edged higher than DeSantis in recent polls. TheYahoo survey shows just 31 percent of the public wants Trump to run; only 29 percent of independents agree, whilenot a single demographic is net positive. According to polling aggregator RealClearPolitics, DeSantis leads Crist by an average of 8.8 percent, and Fried by 13 percent, though it is worth noting that some of the polls it includes are dated to 2021, and the most recent one is from February 2022. Others, however, remained confident in DeSantis's win. Nearly 53.4 percent of its eligible population has been fully vaccinated. His side hobby is inserting himself into Republican primaries, where he has shown a marked inability to move GOP voters. Trump has done a number on Pence within the GOP. The numbers are worse for Biden, with just 21 percent looking forward to a Biden run, including just 43 percent of Democrats and a mere 12 percentof independents. Approval ratings of the incumbent Democratic Governor, Ralph Northam, have dropped 10 points to 49%, which is still better than the average drop of 14.38% for Democratic governors. Trump is essentially tiedwith Bidenin national polling. Looking beyond polls at other metrics, DeSantis remains largely popular in Florida, with a solid approval rating of 58 percentthe highest among the elected officials Fabrizio's history with Trump doesn't necessarily discredit the poll, but given Trump's potential future stand-off against DeSantis in the primaries, it does mean the private polling results should be treated with some skepticism. Union rep: Employees reporting illness after working on cleanup for East Zero-calorie sweetener popular in keto diets linked to strokes, heart attacks. In the race for United States Senate, incumbent Republican Senator Marco Rubio (45%) leads Congresswoman Val Demings (41%), with Libertarian Dennis Misigoy, Independent Steven Grant, and Independent Tuan TQ Nguyen receiving 1% each, with 9% undecided. Just 37% rated the Florida economy as excellent or good, down 10 points from January. A new Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll released Friday exclusively to The Hill shows Trump leading DeSantis 46 percent to 23 percent. WebRCP Average: DeSantis +12.2 RCP Ranking: Leans GOP RCP Projection: GOP Hold Key 2022 Races: Senate | FL-23-----PAST KEY RACES-----2020: President | FL-7 | FL-13 | FL-15 | FL Send anonymous news tips to[emailprotected]. Florida Gov. The Supreme Court takes up student loan forgiveness Whats at stake? In a hypothetical 2024 presidential primary matchup, DeSantis (48%) now leads Trump (40%) by 8 points. In most deep-red states, Republican governors dont have to worry about a Democrat winningthey need to be worried about losing a Republican primary to an anti-vaxxer. "BREAKING: Democratic Florida frontrunner Charlie Crist is polling one point higher than Ron DeSantis. DeSantis does not poll much betterat this stage,but DeSantis is still relativelyunknownnationally,and voters tend to ride the fence without more information. Everyone Practices Cancel Culture | Opinion, Deplatforming Free Speech is Dangerous | Opinion. New numbers say Ron DeSantis could lose reelection in Florida in 2022 https://t.co/EO3zohCAyb. Independents disapproval rose from 38 percent to 51 Ron DeSantis Approval Rating In a straw poll performed at the 2022 Conservative Political Action Conference for the 2024 Republican presidential selection, The number of COVID-19 hospitalizations in the state has also risen dramatically. underwhelming, but not **that** bad. Press J to jump to the feed. Historically, these two races are always heavily scrutinized for what they can tell us about how the public is reacting to events of the day. Where DeSantis looks best is in comparison to Trump and others. Since then, the state has broken that new record nine times. Trump was down10 points, and Mike Pence was down 12 points. Select one or more years, states and race types, then click "Apply Filter" to see results. And he complains, Biden does, about everybody else. That certainly earned notice from Frieds campaign, but surrogates there said the poor overall assessment of DeSantis performance was the most critical data point in the poll. The Covid States Project is a consortium of academics and pollsters who have been tracking the approval ratings of Americas governors throughout the pandemic. Looking beyond polls at other metrics, DeSantis remains largely popular in Florida, with a solid approval rating of 58 percentthe highest among the elected officials surveyed in a University of North Florida pollamid recent controversies, such as his ongoing spat with Disney. Sign up for the latest news about The Chamber, 1 SE 3rd Ave., Suite 1410 Miami, FL 33131 | +1 305 350 7700 | 2022 Greater Miami Chamber of Commerce. "Charlie Crist is in this race to defeat Ron DeSantis, and this secret GOP poll shows that he's doing exactly that," Samantha Ramirez, spokesperson for Crist, said according to Village News. 1998 - 2023 Nexstar Media Inc. | All Rights Reserved. The state's new highest daily toll of deaths was 901 on August 26. Every little bit helps. According to the market research company, 48 percent of all Ron DeSantis (R) on Thursday signed the states Freedom First Budget and ripped President Biden, who is experiencing ever-tanking approval A close look at the numbers shows DeSantis still holds the support of 66% of Republicans, but Democrats are increasingly energized against him, with 66% of them Bidens approval numbers have collapsed, but Trump has barely benefited. Pushaw's claim is incorrect. WebFlorida Governor - DeSantis vs. Fried. On DeSantis' overall job performance, voters are divided with 47 percent approving and 45 percent disapproving of the way he's handling his job as governor. But what I would say is you want to know why your approval ratings are in the toilet? he asked. Before the summer, the state's previous all-time high of newly reported cases in a single day was 31,518 cases on January 2. Nearly half of voters polled this month said they were worse off than they were four years ago. Nearly half of all Florida voters now disapprove of Republican Governor Ron DeSantis' job performance. You know, we believe that when parents send their kids to school, its for education, not for indoctrination, and were gonna hold that line in Florida. Losing a re-election race or deciding not to run because you are likely to lose are not good ways to catapult yourself to your partys nomination. Fabrizio told Newsweek that the questions in the survey "were not asked at any clients request, but rather questions we added at our own expense onto regular statewide surveys we do in FL.". Try looking in the mirror for once." While two recent polls have indeed shown a narrow lead for DeSantis's opponent Charlie Crist, it falls within the margin of error, while the reliability and scope of the polls also come into question. Normally, a28-point lead would be cause for celebration, but not for Trump. His approval rating dropped 6 percent and his disapproval rating increased 8 percent among all voters since July 1. Overall, Republican governors have lost an average of 21.96 points while Democratic governors have lost an average of 14.38 points. As Table #1 indicates, with two exceptions, the top 10 governors who have suffered the largest losses are Republican. "If you look at all the different policy responses around the world since the start of the pandemic, there is no correlation between COVID prevalence andmask mandates, lockdowns, curfews, vaccine passportsor even vaccination rate.". GOP Candidate: Ron DeSantis (Incumbent) Dem Candidates: Charlie Crist, Nikki Fried, Annette Taddeo, David Nelson Freeman. He appears to be comfortably ahead of his Republican opponent and his approval ratings during the pandemic have dropped only 5 points. Abbotts approval rating among independents dropped from 41 percent to 38 percent. DeSantis' press secretary also mentioned that, since mid-August, the overall number of confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations has declined steadily by about 9.7 percent, according to the Florida Hospital Association. Rubios lead over Demings has shrunk from 49%-41% in January to 45%-41% today. A while ago, I wouldve said DeSantis. The views expressed by contributors are their own and not the view of The Hill, by Keith Naughton, opinion contributor - 06/26/22 10:30 AM ET, by Antjuan Seawright, Opinion Contributor, by Douglas E. Schoen, opinion contributor, Lawmakers trounce Lobbyists in annual charity hockey game, These four House Republicans broke with the GOP to oppose inflation estimates bill, Biden mocks Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene: Isnt she amazing?, Union rep: Employees reporting illness after working on cleanup for East Palestine derailment, Biden urges Democrats to tout policy wins: Let the people know who did it for them, Pence disagrees with Haleys call for competency tests: The American people can sort that out, Judge says Starbucks committed egregious and widespread labor violations fighting unions, Washington applauds private-sector insulin cap, China, trade and national security: The tools we need. Primary: August 23, 2022. Crist himself is up against Nikki Fried, Florida's Agriculture Commissioner, in the Democratic primaries, though the odds are heavily skewed in his favor. Instead, Trump continues to fume about the hearings and complain that the 2020 election was stolen. The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Ron DeSantis (R) and Texas Gov. Make no mistake, DeSantis is running, justin a highly calculated,surreptitious manner. She leads with 54% to DeSantis 46%, still just outside the margin of error. The drop in his approval ratings has coincided with an increase in his state's COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations and deaths. The drops in support come as the Texas Republican made headlines for cracking down on mask and vaccine mandates amid a surge of the COVID-19 delta variant in the state. Democratic support for the governor dropped from 24 percent to 21 percent, with disapproval rising from 72 percent in July to 76 percent. WebPresident Joe Biden has an approval rating of 38%, with 59% disapproving. Just 37% rated the Florida economy as excellent or good, down 10 points from January. His disapproval rating has risen over the last two months as Florida's COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations and deaths have reached their highest levels since the pandemic began. Both governors have signed executive orders banning school districts and governmental authorities from imposing mask mandates. And similarly to the Fabrizio poll, the margin of error here, +/- 3.67 percent, far exceeds Crist's apparent lead of 1.2 percent. Most of these governors have opposed masking, schools being shut down, quarantines, vaccine mandates, and tolerated anti-vaxxers. At the moment, however, Florida Republicans would choose DeSantis, despite Trump being a Sunshine State resident.. In the same Yahoo poll,everypolitical figure had a net negativerating. The numbers are nearly identical to last February, when DeSantis had a 53%-42% approval rating. DeSantis' approval rating plummeted as Florida's Covid-19 cases skyrocketed into 2021. Meanwhile, the majority of other polls, past and more recent, still have the current governor in a comfortable lead. We're looking to expand for more bipartisan representation. Please let us know if you're having issues with commenting. A University of North Florida poll had an even bigger margin in the governor's favor, giving him a 21-point lead ahead of Crist. Now, with his approval ratings slipping and COVID getting worse here in Florida, I think Harris has more of a shot. If this keeps up, they may pay the political price. This statewide survey of 500 likely Florida voters was conducted September 15-18 using live telephone interviews of households where respondents indicated they were very or somewhat likely to vote in the November 2022 general election for governor. DeSantisis in office, pursuing actual policy, offering real alternatives rather than justcomplaints; heis capturing the fancy ofsome inthe media andsomecelebrities such as Bill Maher and Elon Musk things thatused to be Trumps territory. YouGov has Trump down40 percent approve to 55 percent disapprove. In Idaho, so many unvaccinated people got serious cases of Covid that they ran out of ICU beds, and patients were rushed to nearby Washington State. Florida Gov. Florida Gov. A Phillips Academy poll in May showed the incumbent edging ahead by just one point, suggesting that the race may indeed be tightening. DeSantis still has strong support among the GOP base, with more than four in five Florida Republicans saying they still approve of the governor, although that number He never takes responsibility for himself. He alsohas toget throughreelectionin Florida in November. Marginals and full cross-tabulation data are posted on theSuffolk University Political Research Centerwebsite: www.suffolk.edu/SUPRC. As such, many expected him to comfortably secure his re-election in November's midterms, but does new polling put a dent in his ambitions? He also has to get through reelection in Florida in November. Also, the AC at my school was broken, so it was hot as Hell. Whether or not this political and financial capital will materialize in a victory come November remains to be seen, and the race may indeed tighten in the remaining few months. BREAKING: Gov. Everyone Practices Cancel Culture | Opinion, Deplatforming Free Speech is Dangerous | Opinion. Nearly half of all Florida voters now disapprove of Republican Governor Ron DeSantis' job performance. Among all voters, 48 percent now approve of DeSantis' job performance and 48 percent disapprove, according to a new poll from the market research company Morning Senate sends bill nullifying Biden's ESG investing rule to president's desk, China, Belarus call for cease-fire, negotiations in Ukraine, Watch live: White House monkeypox response team holds briefing, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, Ron DeSantis (R) on Thursday signed the states Freedom First Budget and ripped President Biden, who is experiencing ever-tanking approval ratings, telling the commander in chief to look in the mirror for once.. The percentage of Independent voters who disapprove of DeSantis' job performance rose 14 percentage points since the start of July. First of all, the 1 percent lead is effectively negligible, given the poll's margin of error of +/- 2.9 percent. The margin of error is +/-4.4 percentage points at a 95% level of confidence. By rejecting non-essential cookies, Reddit may still use certain cookies to ensure the proper functionality of our platform. Fifty-four percent of Florida voters approved of DeSantiss job in office from June 22 to July 1. ConsideringBidens polling nosedive and fumbling response to growing domestic problems, Trumps numbers are terrible. Now, with his approval ratings slipping and COVID getting worse here in Florida, I think Harris has more of a shot. The number of COVID-19-related deaths has also sharply risen in the state. As the election for Governor of Florida draws closer, several prominent social media accounts have claimed that the incumbent Ron DeSantis may be facing a tougher challenge than anticipated, with recent polls allegedly tilting in favor of his Democratic opponent, U.S. Rep. Charlie Crist from the 13th District. One or more years, states and race types, then click `` Apply Filter '' to results! Is that in the two gubernatorial races coming up next month it is clear that its the pandemic.... Of 14.38 points is a consortium of academics and pollsters who have suffered the largest losses are Republican from 22. Of our platform GOP Candidate: Ron DeSantis ' job performance Dangerous | Opinion, Deplatforming Free is! Dropped from 41 percent to 21 percent, with his approval ratings has coincided with an increase his! ) by 8 points has shrunk from 49 % -41 % in January to 45 % %... 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