He's immediately the number-three option behind Calvin Ridley and an aging Julio Jones, and considering the holes across the defense, the Falcons should be a pretty pass-heavy team in the short term. Zach Wilson was outplayed by Mike White in 2021; it earned him Garrett Wilson and Breece Hall. was my pre-draft comparison -- that's what we're working with when it comes to Elijah Moore. Though I only use them sparingly myself, I see no issue when other dynasty managers use calculators to assist them to craft an offer. There are four wide receivers who could easily be placed in this eighth overall spot -- I'm just opting to put, The main reason I'm high on Marshall -- and likely higher than the consensus -- is because he's one of the only earlier-round wide receivers who checks nearly every alpha wide receiver box. And he looks somewhat vulnerable if forced to share a backfield with an explosive receiving back in the mold ofAustin EkelerorTony Pollard. That's translated into 50 fewer wide receiver targets than any other team. For example, the record holder for rushing yards in a season at the quarterback position, Lamar Jackson, has four of the top 14 rushing seasons all-time for quarterbacks and has never finished worse than QB8 in points per game in his four starting seasons. He has a complete production profile (aside from not being an early-declare receiver), and his prospect score in my model is well above average for a fourth-round pick. And when you give an athletic, productive prospect like Pitts that kind of opportunity, he'll thrive. But during that final campaign, in games active, Stevenson compiled an impressive 15% reception share and 22% total touchdown share. DeVonta Smith is a post-draft riser for a couple of reasons. His profile suggests that hecouldbe talented enough to pull it off. What if Powell is that dude? Robert Woods will have a role on the Titans once healthy, as will Kyle Pitts on the Falcons, but both Burks and London have a very low bar to clear for rookie production. Considering Davis came from a smaller program and Blackmon had off-the-field issues, Watkins is the player here who didn't live up to elite expectation. He has a complete production profile (aside from not being an early-declare receiver), and his prospect score in my model is well above average for a fourth-round pick. No one knows what'll happen there, but that would at least bring the rookie Rodgers some production as soon as Year 1. 31 Jan 2023 14:28:48 JJ explains his process for evaluating prospects and provides his insights into the top options in . But, man, it's hard to ignore this landing spot. Instead of just drafting from a list of players and crossing your fingers with the hopes that those players produce, host JJ Zachariason provides a process to help you find breakout candidates . Host of the award-winning Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast &@LiveTheStreamFF. It's not an NFT it's a freaking fantasy football guide. I dont like wasting capital on assets that cant provide a material change to my roster when possible. Weather info Powered by Dark Sky. numberFire was later bought by FanDuel in 2015, where he spent over six years as Editor-In-Chief. Seattle doesn't throw to their running backs, so he has little chance of developing as a receiver under the current regime. This spot feels right, all things considered. Other Day 3 names are also intriguing. Here's how I put it pre-draft: "If Hall lands with an established receiving back, it could take him a few years to develop into a three-down optionakin toDavid Montgomery(0.98 YPRR). The size is there to be a beast for whoever's under center for Pittsburgh, too, given he's 6'5'' and 251 pounds. The DLF Dynasty Podcast #557 . In 2019, they were first. On this episode, he looks at players you might want to trade away. Last week on the show, JJ talked through a handful of players he was looking to buy in his dynasty leagues this offseason. The running back position also has some very good options outside the current or soon-to-see if youre not up to date RB1 Bijan Robinson. His average depth of target was 361st in college football in limited time last year, but that's also how Purdue used him throughout his collegiate career. Both are very much in play for the Superflex 1.01. . Jones had a monster final season at Alabama, and his profile aligns closely with Joe Burrow's from last season, but Jones wasn't the first overall pick. I think that cutoff is after Wan'Dale Robinson and Jalen Tolbert, but that is partly why I'm below ADP on John Metchie and Alec Pierce. If St. Brown can grab hold of the slot role, perhaps we'll see him be, The thing is, he's built like a running back, and he sort of plays like a running back -- he was often compared to, in the pre-draft process, and Montgomery was also selected by the Packers back in 2015. 2009-2023 numberFire, Inc. Certain headlines thanks to Rotoworld. NFL Draft Futures Betting: Who Will Be the First Defensive Player Drafted? This service is intended for adult audiences. Pierre Strong could similarly emerge if the Patriots move on from Damien Harris after the year. Maybe that'll end up being Fitzpatrick. Williams broke the Pro Football Focus record in broken tackles per attempt last year, and he has good pass-catching ability, as well. So not a whole lot has changed for me with Wilson post-draft. Instead, I'd rather bet on Matt Corral. In the slot as a Freshman and Sophomore, though, St. Brown competed production-wise with teammate Michael Pittman Jr., and that helped give him a high-end breakout age. My model doesn't mind Tutu Atwell. It changed his life. However, there are consistent areas we can look for value, find common edges and (perhaps) take advantage of mistakes by the broader consensus. The Fantasy Playbook Podcast with Kyle Yates. He's not all that big at about 200 pounds, but he can fly. pahowdy writes for dynastyleaguefootball.com. PointsBet is our Official Sports Betting Partner and we may receive compensation if you place a bet on PointsBet for the first time after clicking our links. By accepting all cookies, you agree to our use of cookies to deliver and maintain our services and site, improve the quality of Reddit, personalize Reddit content and advertising, and measure the effectiveness of advertising. Podcast, rookie draft guide, redraft, Patreon all worth it . . During his lone full season as starter in college, Lance rushed for 1,100 yards on the ground in 16 games. You know that whole "first-round wide receivers with a negative stat score have consistently busted in my model" thing that I talked about with Jaylen Waddle? Thank you so much for the support! Dameon Pierce should see opportunity more quickly. JJ answers those questions as he goes over his post-draft rankings. By supporting creators you love on Patreon, you're becoming an active participant in their creative process. The DLF Dynasty Podcast, the Read and React IDP Podcast, the Dynasty Game Night Podcast, the Dynasty Crossroads Podcast, the Superflex Supershow Podcast, the Trade Addicts Podcast and the Dynasty Theory Podcast. For a bit it felt like we (dynasty community, Fantasy analysts, pundits, draft experts) were on the same page (elite skills and body control, some light concern about top end speed) - top 3 WR. The colossal force in fantasy football podcasting. Five of those instances came last year. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: N/APre-Draft Positional Rank: N/APost-Draft Positional Rank: 5Tier: 9. Who's the rookie RB3? Rashod Bateman going to Baltimore was bad. /r/fantasyfootball - Good For Your Season, Press J to jump to the feed. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: 9Pre-Draft Positional Rank: 5Post-Draft Positional Rank: 3Tier: 4. JJ wrote the book The Late-Round Quarterback and he hosts The Late-Round Podcast . Injury Guide. I'm not enthusiastic about Jelani Woods, who will likely be in a tight end by committee and has a questionable receiving profile, but the Colts tend to involve the tight end at least. To me, he's got the highest ceiling of the crew. It'd be completely asinine to spend a luxury pick on a running back who'd only play passing downs, and this is likely just a classic instance of coach speak. Insiders will have access to everything Explorers get, but they also will have access to Q&A livestreams with JJ (at least once a month out of season and twice a week during), rest-of-season rankings and tiers (updated weekly in-season), and rankings and tiers for the upcoming week of games. Top-10 Rookie WR Rankings with JJ Zachariason. Although it feels like the NFL season just ended, we're already looking ahead to 2022 -- and that starts with the rookies and the NFL Draft. Tylan Wallace being drafted towards the end of the fourth round was bad. Adam Levitan talks to JJ Zachariason and Mike Leone about how to adjust. For Whom The Tolls. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: 26Pre-Draft Positional Rank: 2Post-Draft Positional Rank: 2Tier: 8. Atwell is the absolute smallest wide receiver in my database. The landing spot was big for Moore, at least. He competed well with. Stop stealing our stuff and ripping off our features, please. See Fantasy Football Week 7 PPR rankings for Dynasty League Football Dynasty ADP and JJ Zachariason compared with each other to find the best sleepers and avoid the busts. Washington Commanders quarterback Sam Howell will enter the offseason program as the frontrunner for the starting job, per head coach Ron Rivera. My issue is that with Baltimore, changing to be some average destination for wide receiver production will take a good bit of effort. After 2021, it's wheels up. Late-Round Fantasy Football creator. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: 24Pre-Draft Positional Rank: 7Post-Draft Positional Rank: 8Tier: 10. Tolbert solidified his standing in 2022 dynasty rookie rankings at the NFL Combine with 10 hands, a 76 3/8 wingspan, 4.49 40-yard dash, and 36 vertical jump. For me, sometimes I miss a few things on the podcast that made more sense when I read through it in the guide. The story for Powell is about situation. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: 6Pre-Draft Positional Rank: 2Post-Draft Positional Rank: 6Tier: 4. JJ wrote an e-book called The Late-Round Quarterback in 2012. JJ Zachariason: East Coast Dad. Customers can subscribe to NBC Sports EDGE+ monthly for $9.99. Bell's real-life ceiling isn't that exciting, but his PPR upside is. Read millions of eBooks and audiobooks on the web, iPad, iPhone and Android. Wilson won't get that ranking because of his landing spot, but he checks every box we're looking for from an elite talent. 2009-2018 numberFire, Inc. Certain headlines thanks to Rotoworld. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: N/APre-Draft Positional Rank: N/APost-Draft Positional Rank: 18Tier: 11. There is some worry about athleticism with Long, though, and that could really limit his fantasy football upside. Jets WR Garrett Wilson. Dynasty Rankings. He's got a high-upside arm and has mobility, but not to the degree of a Lance or Fields. Below are my post-draft positional rookie ranks and a Superflex top 50. (Photo by Mike Mulholland/Getty Images) Miles Sanders -- among others -- will play ahead of Gainwell in Philadelphia, but the rookie could showcase his talent at times throughout Year 1 given his strong receiving profile. February 27, 2023. JJ Zachariason has the perfect Skyy Moore comp, and I'm mad I didn't think of it. Beyond that, it's really about placing your preferred longshot bets. Sucks about the charts, I feel that I can create some baller ass tableau charts that get me the same data, but by then my head is so deep in data I forget the football. In fact, his adjusted yards per attempt against top-50 defenses last season was second-best in this draft class. As is my model. You can still order them below: Preorders for the Late-Round Draft Guide will be available after the NFL Draft. I mean if its I had the money for one, thats definitely the direction I would go, I also like JJs info much more because he explains the process behind it. Matt Kelley, aka The Podfather, hosts RotoUnderworld's flagship program delivering in-depth fantasy analysis supported by advanced metrics, insider real talk, and cheeky shenanigans. For better context of how high Dotson and Watsons TD/Target rate was last year, Davante Adams (who led the league with 14 touchdowns) scored on a 7.8% rate and Travis Kelce (second in the league with 12 touchdowns) scored on 7.9% of his targets. 3. In this episode of the Locked on Dynasty Football Podcast, Ryan McDowell and Matt Williamson discuss incoming rookie tight end Michael Mayer from Notre Dame, discussing his college production, strengths, weaknesses, dynasty value and projected NFL Draft capital. In other words, 2023 is an ideal class to trade up in. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: 14Pre-Draft Positional Rank: 10Post-Draft Positional Rank: 8Tier: 6. But -- but! That draft capital evaluation is important when separating the two, since games played and experience is a key indicator for NFL success, and neither player had that. $10 / month. I pre-ordered mine for $20 (now $25) but I think it was worth it and you get to support a person you enjoy. The biggest faller from these pre- to post-draft rankings is Tylan Wallace. Host of the award-winning Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast &@LiveTheStreamFF. Londons 29.4% target share ranked fifth among wide receivers last year, and if you are an adherent to the Peter Howard targets are earned dogma then you know why that matters. There's a reason draft capital is in my model -- it has signal. And like Jones in 2020 and Zach Wilson now, it should be easy to trade him for more than the mid-late first it took to get him. The slot, of course, is where Moore played the majority of his snaps (78% during his final season, per Pro Football Focus) in college. Its cheap and JJ is one of the only analysts that doesnt just push opinions, he shows you how he got there and compares against others. Though both Watson and Dotson outscored London, you need to look a little deeper to understand why London should be the preferred buy (I just assume you already know that Olave and Wilson are preferred). The thought was that Wallace would be a Day 2 pick, but he fell all the way to Pick 131, and he fell to -- of course -- the Baltimore Ravens. Waddle doesn't look nearly as good within my wide receiver model. Smith's best-season yards per team pass attempt rate -- the most predictive production-related metric in my model -- was 4.37. After Dotson, there comes the point where you're really just better off drafting running backs. would be the quarterback, Collins would be more in the Amon-Ra St. Brown tier -- he'd likely be ahead of St. Brown. Going back to the 2018 season, there have been 23 times a rookie wide receiver scored at least 10.5 fantasy points per game. But at 214 pounds, White is unlikely to be a workhorse at any point in his career. Let's talk to JJ Zachariason about Fantasy Football. Dulcich's downfield ability will make him well worth the risk if he hits. Together, youll dig into things that your average fantasy football manager wouldnt even think about. To me, the Falcons don't make Pitts the fourth-overall selection to have him stay at the line blocking like the typical tight end. 783 episodes totalling 227 hours, 19 minutes. What questions are rattling around your brain? Nevertheless, he's a 98th percentile prospect in my model, and it wouldn't feel right to make him anything but the second-best wideout in this class. In addition, the Lions can save nearly $26 million by cutting Jared Goff after the season, giving them a chance to find a quarterback who better meshes with Williams' elite downfield skillset. I spent most of my career as Editor-In-Chief at numberFire and FanDuel, but I went out on my own back in January with the launch . Though assumptions can be wrong, one would have to assume between having a league-leading $98 million in available cap space (which they can also use to absorb a wide receiver salary via trade), and the NFL Draft the Bears will make improvements to their receiving options. With David Montgomery in the last year of his deal, Trestan Ebner is my favorite late-round receiving back. That's even truer of traditional pocket passers like we have with, Jones had a monster final season at Alabama, and his profile aligns closely with. JJ Zachariason: East Coast Dad. Jalen Hurts has two seasons within the top 25 as well, and hes finished as the QB6 and QB1. 23. pahowdy writes for dynastyleaguefootball.com. The award-winning Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast gives you everything you need to know about fantasy football in bite-sized 15-minute episodes. In fact, they will have to be actively bad to cede significant targets to the likes of Dez Fitzpatrick, Nick Westbrook-Ikhine, Olamide Zaccheaus, and Auden Tate. Brown. -- it's not all bad. The guy does great work and in my opinion deserves some support. Authoring our 2021 Dynasty Rookie Rankings Guide include: Mike Braude: industry-renowned expert who has finished as the regular-season champion in the Apex Expert Writer's League (with competitors including Evan Silva, Mike Clay, Shawn Siegele, and JJ Zachariason among other leading fantasy experts) 3 out of the last 4 seasons. The biggest faller from these pre- to post-draft rankings is Tylan Wallace. He's probably being drafted a bit too high, and I probably have him ranked a bit too high, but his upside is hard to pass on. Kenneth Walker remains my RB2 but tumbles down the overall rankings, as you can see below. That little e-book led him to a job at numberFire where he helped build the sites content business from the ground up. Dynasty rookie drafts may be over, but our 2021 rookie guide is still a definite asset when preparing you for your 2021 season-long fantasy football drafts. About 200 pounds, but not to the feed Football Podcast & jj zachariason dynasty rankings LiveTheStreamFF on assets that provide! 5Tier: 9. Who 's the rookie RB3 this Draft class ceiling of the Late-Round... Football Podcast gives you everything you need to know about fantasy Football guide: 4 but his PPR upside...., it 's not an NFT it 's not an NFT it 's hard to this... Stop stealing our stuff and ripping off our features, please but tumbles down the rankings. 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